Nu har Oscarstatyetter delats ut igen. Har detta kulturella evenemang något med vetenskaplig analys att göra? Jo. Här är fem lästips för den som intresserar sig för filmekonomi och filmstatistik:
”What’s an Oscar Worth?”, publicerad i Economic Inquiry: ”The results indicate substantial financial benefits for a nomination and award for best picture and best actor/actress.”
- ”For Oscar Glory or Oscar Money?”, publicerad i Journal of Cultural Economics: ”Our findings suggest that nominations for Oscars generate substantial extra revenues, while winning an award contributes only little to this extra rent.”
- ”Just How Predictable Are the Oscars?”, publicerad i Chance: ”Discrete choice modeling of past data on Oscar nominees in the four major categories—Best Picture, Director, Actor, and Actress—enables prediction of the winners in these categories with a reasonable degree of success. If recent trends persist, it should be possible to predict future winners with a prediction success rate of approximately 77% for Picture, 93% for Director, 77% for Actor, and 77% for Actress.”
- ”Applying Discrete Choice Models to Predict Academy Award Winners”, publicerad i Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: ”The paper frames the question of predicting the four major awards—picture, director, actor in a leading role and actress in a leading role—as a discrete choice problem. It is then possible to predict the winners in these four categories with a reasonable degree of success.”
- ”The Economics of Movies: A Literature Survey.”
Jag känner dock inte till någon svensk nationalekonom eller statistiker som analyserar Oscarsgalan eller film mer allmänt. Kanske ett spännande avhandlingsämne för någon?
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